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Natural hazard risk in Morris County, New Jersey

Updated October 30, 2026. Based on FEMA, NOAA and OpenFEMA data. Published by Humblebee.

FEMA overall Risk Index rating: Relatively Moderate (score 92.8 of 100)[5]

Expected annual loss (FEMA)
$208.1 million[1]
Federal disaster declarations since 1965
30[2]
NFIP flood claims paid, 1978 to 2026
$201.0 million[3]
Tornadoes recorded, 1950 to 2024
9[4]

FEMA rates the overall natural hazard risk for Morris County, New Jersey as Relatively Moderate compared with other US counties[5]. The hazards with the highest FEMA scores within the county are strong wind, winter weather and inland flooding[6].

FEMA risk ratings for each hazard

Ratings and expected losses from the FEMA National Risk Index. Each rating compares this county with all US counties for that hazard, from Very Low to Very High. They are planning estimates, not predictions, and they do not describe any single property.

FEMA's National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025) gives Morris County a Risk Index score of 92.8 out of 100, relative to all US counties[5]. FEMA estimates Expected Annual Loss from all 18 natural hazards at $208.1 million a year[1]. This is an estimate of average yearly loss, not money anyone paid[7]. By FEMA's Expected Annual Loss values, the largest are inland flooding, cold wave and earthquake[8]. FEMA rates Social Vulnerability as Very Low[9] and Community Resilience as Very High[10].

Hazards sorted by FEMA hazard-type Risk Index score, highest first
HazardFEMA risk ratingExpected annual loss
Strong WindRelatively High$6.1 million[11]
Winter WeatherVery High$1.4 million[12]
Inland FloodingRelatively High$158.1 million[13]
Cold WaveRelatively High$14.9 million[14]
LightningRelatively High$2.0 million[15]
Heat WaveRelatively Moderate$4.6 million[16]
EarthquakeRelatively Low$7.1 million[17]
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$6.3 million[18]
TornadoRelatively Moderate$6.4 million[19]
LandslideRelatively Low$14,000[20]
DroughtRelatively Moderate$691,000[21]
Ice StormRelatively Low$215,000[22]
WildfireVery Low$23,000[23]
HailVery Low$128,000[24]
AvalancheVery Low$33[25]

Rated Not Applicable by FEMA for this county: coastal flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity[26].

Social vulnerability and community resilience

FEMA uses these two ratings to scale expected losses into the Risk Index.

FEMA measureRatingScore
Social vulnerabilityVery Low10.6[9]
Community resilienceVery High89.4[10]

Flooding and flood insurance

FEMA rates inland flooding risk Relatively High compared with other US counties, with an Expected Annual Loss of $158.1 million a year[13]. OpenFEMA lists 2,195 residential flood insurance contracts in force out of 151,495 residential structures, a penetration rate of 1.5%[27]. OpenFEMA's NFIP claims data shows 9,463 claims filed for losses from 1978 to 2026, and NFIP paid $201.0 million in total[3]. County ratings do not describe a single address. FEMA's Flood Map Service Center is the place to look up an address[28].

Measure Value
Inland Flooding, FEMA risk rating[13] Relatively High, $158.1 million expected loss a year
NFIP residential flood policies in force (2026)[27] 2,195 of 151,495 homes
NFIP flood claims, 1978 to 2026[3] 9,463 filed, $201.0 million paid

Is a specific address in a flood zone? Only FEMA's flood maps answer that, property by property[28]. This page describes the whole county.

Search an address on the FEMA Flood Map Service Center

Disaster declarations and tornado records

OpenFEMA lists 30 federal disaster declarations for natural hazards that include Morris County since 1965[2]. The most recent are DR-4614-NJ and EM-3573-NJ for the Remnants of Hurricane Ida in September 2021[29]. NOAA's tornado database records 9 tornadoes touching Morris County from 1950 to 2024, and the most recent was on 2021-08-19[4].

Federal disaster declarations for natural hazards that include Morris County, since 1965
Incident type Declarations
Hurricane[2] 10
Severe Storm[2] 8
Snowstorm[2] 5
Flood[2] 4
Drought[2] 2
Fire[2] 1
Most recent declarations
Declaration Incident Declared
DR-4614-NJ[29] Remnants Of Hurricane Ida 2021-09-05
EM-3573-NJ[29] Remnants Of Hurricane Ida 2021-09-02
DR-4597-NJ[29] Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm 2021-04-28
DR-4574-NJ[29] Tropical Storm Isaias 2020-12-11
DR-4368-NJ[29] Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm 2018-06-08

How to prepare

Steps from Ready.gov, FEMA's preparedness site, for the hazards with the highest FEMA ratings here. Follow instructions from local officials and the National Weather Service when a warning is issued.

Winter storms and cold

Before

  • Insulate your home and learn how to keep pipes from freezing.
  • Install and test smoke and carbon monoxide detectors with battery backup.
  • Keep several days of supplies in case the power goes out, including medication and pet needs.
  • Put an emergency kit in your car with jumper cables, sand, blankets, water and snacks, and keep the tank full.

During

  • Under a winter storm warning, find shelter right away.
  • Stay off the roads if you can. If you are stuck in your car, stay inside it.
  • Run generators and grills only outdoors, away from windows, and never heat your home with an oven or stove.

Source: Ready.gov, winter storms and cold

Floods

Before

  • Check your flood risk with FEMA's Flood Map Service Center, and remember that floods do not follow map lines.
  • Sign up for your community's warning system. NOAA Weather Radio also broadcasts alerts.
  • Buy flood insurance through the NFIP well before a disaster. Homeowners policies do not cover flooding, and a new policy typically takes up to 30 days to go into effect.
  • Make a household plan with evacuation routes, shelter locations and what to do in a flash flood.
  • Keep important documents in a waterproof container and make password-protected digital copies.

During

  • If you are told to evacuate, leave right away and never drive around barricades.
  • Do not walk, swim or drive through floodwater. Six inches of moving water can knock you down.
  • If you are trapped in a building, go to the highest level, but do not climb into a closed attic.

Source: Ready.gov, floods

Extreme heat

Before

  • Learn the signs of heat illness and how to respond.
  • Do not rely on a fan as your main way to stay cool. Fans do not lower body temperature.
  • Find cool public places, such as libraries or malls, or ask your local health department.
  • Keep heat out with window shades, weather stripping and insulation.
  • If you cannot afford cooling costs, contact LIHEAP for help.

During

  • Never leave a person or an animal in a parked car in warm weather.
  • If your home has no air conditioning, go to a cooling center.
  • Wear light, loose clothing, drink plenty of fluids and avoid hard outdoor work in the middle of the day.

Source: Ready.gov, extreme heat

Questions people ask

Is Morris County at risk of flooding?
FEMA rates inland flooding risk Relatively High for Morris County compared with other US counties[13]. FEMA's flood zone for a specific address comes from its Flood Map Service Center[28].
Does Morris County get tornadoes?
NOAA's tornado database records 9 tornadoes touching Morris County from 1950 to 2024[4]. FEMA rates tornado risk Relatively Moderate compared with other US counties[19].
Is Morris County at risk of earthquakes?
FEMA rates earthquake risk Relatively Low compared with other US counties, with an Expected Annual Loss of $7.1 million a year[17].
How many disasters have been declared in Morris County?
OpenFEMA lists 30 federal disaster declarations for natural hazards that include Morris County since 1965[2].
Is Morris County at risk of wildfire?
FEMA rates wildfire risk Very Low for Morris County compared with other US counties[23].

Facts and sources

  1. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025): Expected Annual Loss from all 18 natural hazards in Morris County is $208.1 million a year (Expected Annual Loss rating Relatively High, score 95.8). Of this, buildings account for $173.6 million, injuries and deaths (converted to dollars by FEMA) for $33.7... FEMA National Risk Index
  2. OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries list 30 federal disaster declarations for natural hazards that include Morris County since 1965 (21 major disaster, 9 emergency or fire management). By incident type: hurricane 10, severe storm 8, snowstorm 5, flood 4, drought 2, fire 1. Biological (such as COVID-19) and... OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations
  3. HazardFacts tally of OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims (losses from 1978 to 2026): 9,463 National Flood Insurance Program claims were filed for losses in Morris County, 8,103 of them with a payment, and NFIP paid $201.0 million in total (building, contents and increased cost of compliance, in dollars of the year paid).... OpenFEMA NFIP claims
  4. NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950 to 2024): 9 recorded tornadoes touched Morris County. The strongest were rated F3 (most recent of them on 1973-05-28). 2 were rated F3/EF3 or stronger. The most recent recorded tornado was on 2021-08-19. Ratings used the Fujita scale until early 2007 and the... NOAA Storm Prediction Center
  5. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025): the overall natural hazard Risk Index rating for Morris County is Relatively Moderate, with a Risk Index score of 92.8 out of 100. The score is the county's percentile rank among all US counties. FEMA National Risk Index
  6. Among the 18 hazards in the FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), the hazards with the highest hazard-type Risk Index scores for Morris County are strong wind (96.6, Relatively High), winter weather (96.4, Very High), inland flooding (96.3, Relatively High). HazardFacts sorted FEMA's published... FEMA National Risk Index
  7. FEMA's National Risk Index FAQ (December 2025): Expected Annual Loss is FEMA's estimate of the average economic loss in dollars from natural hazards each year. The index is not meant to predict how much damage a community will have in the next year, and a hazard can still cause damage where a rating is low. Scores... FEMA National Risk Index documentation
  8. HazardFacts sorted FEMA's hazard-type Expected Annual Loss values for Morris County (National Risk Index v1.20): the largest are inland flooding ($158.1 million a year), cold wave ($14.9 million a year), earthquake ($7.1 million a year), out of $208.1 million a year from all 18 hazards. FEMA National Risk Index
  9. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025): Social Vulnerability rating for Morris County is Very Low (score 10.6). FEMA describes social vulnerability as how susceptible social groups are to the harm natural hazards cause. FEMA National Risk Index
  10. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025): Community Resilience rating for Morris County is Very High (score 89.4). FEMA describes community resilience as a community's ability to prepare for, withstand and recover from hazards. FEMA National Risk Index
  11. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), strong wind in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively High (score 96.6 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $6.1 million a year (rating Relatively High). Annualized frequency 6.37 events per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 38 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  12. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), winter weather in Morris County: Risk Index rating Very High (score 96.4 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $1.4 million a year (rating Very High). Annualized frequency 14.33 events per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 18 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  13. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), inland flooding in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively High (score 96.3 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $158.1 million a year (rating Relatively High). Annualized frequency 4.36 event-days per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 26... FEMA National Risk Index
  14. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), cold wave in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively High (score 93.0 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $14.9 million a year (rating Relatively High). Annualized frequency 0.84 event-days per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 18 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  15. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), lightning in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively High (score 90.5 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $2.0 million a year (rating Relatively High). Annualized frequency 32.96 events per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 24 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  16. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), heat wave in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively Moderate (score 89.1 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $4.6 million a year (rating Relatively Moderate). Annualized frequency 6.06 event-days per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 18... FEMA National Risk Index
  17. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), earthquake in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively Low (score 88.8 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $7.1 million a year (rating Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled annual frequency is 0.0019 events per year. FEMA National Risk Index
  18. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), hurricane in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively Moderate (score 85.1 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $6.3 million a year (rating Relatively Moderate). Annualized frequency 0.1 events per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 172... FEMA National Risk Index
  19. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), tornado in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively Moderate (score 79.8 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $6.4 million a year (rating Relatively Moderate). Annualized frequency 0.18 events per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 38 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  20. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), landslide in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively Low (score 73.9 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $14,000 a year (rating Relatively Low). FEMA National Risk Index
  21. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), drought in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively Moderate (score 66.7 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $691,000 a year (rating Relatively Moderate). Annualized frequency 2.64 event-days per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 22 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  22. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), ice storm in Morris County: Risk Index rating Relatively Low (score 59.6 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $215,000 a year (rating Relatively Moderate). Annualized frequency 0.88 event-days per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 68 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  23. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), wildfire in Morris County: Risk Index rating Very Low (score 29.9 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $23,000 a year (rating Very Low). FEMA's modeled annual frequency is 0.0001 events per year. FEMA National Risk Index
  24. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), hail in Morris County: Risk Index rating Very Low (score 21.9 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $128,000 a year (rating Relatively Low). Annualized frequency 2.47 events per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 37 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  25. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025), avalanche in Morris County: Risk Index rating Very Low (score 16.6 of 100). Expected Annual Loss $33 a year (rating Very Low). Annualized frequency 0.01 events per year, from recorded occurrences over a period of record of 28 years. FEMA National Risk Index
  26. FEMA National Risk Index (version 1.20, December 2025) rates these hazards Not Applicable for Morris County: coastal flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity. FEMA uses Not Applicable when its source data has no historical record of the hazard in the community and the hazard is not considered geographically possible... FEMA National Risk Index documentation
  27. NFIP Residential Penetration Rates (OpenFEMA, as of 2026-08-03): 2,195 residential flood insurance contracts were in force in Morris County, out of 151,495 residential structures, a penetration rate of 1.5%. OpenFEMA NFIP penetration rates
  28. FEMA's Flood Map Service Center is the official public source for flood maps (Flood Insurance Rate Maps) produced under the National Flood Insurance Program. Flood zones apply to specific properties: look up an address there or ask the local floodplain manager. County-level ratings do not tell you the flood zone of... FEMA Flood Map Service Center
  29. Most recent federal disaster declarations for natural hazards (table on this page). OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations

FEMA's National Risk Index compares each county with all other US counties. Ratings are relative (Very Low to Very High), not a measure of safety. Never call a place safe, unsafe, good or bad to live in. Risk Index and Expected Annual Loss values are FEMA estimates for planning. They do not predict next year's losses and do not apply to a single property. Flood zones are set by FEMA flood maps for specific properties. County ratings and flood insurance counts do not tell anyone whether an address is in a flood zone. Disaster declaration, NFIP and tornado counts are records of the past for this county only. Do not compare with other counties unless a fact does.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties, v1.20 (December 2025). Retrieved from fema.maps.arcgis.com on October 30, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.